Insights
September Fed Rate Cut Melt-Up: Warranted—or Prelude to an October Meltdown?
Statler (S): That was the worst thing I ever heard! Waldorf (W): It was terrible! S: Horrendous! W: Well, it wasn’t that bad. S: Oh, yeah? W: Yeah, it was GOOD, actually. S: Yeah, bravo! S & W: More!! — Excerpt from well-known Statler and Waldorf “Muppets”...
In The End, Rational Thinking Prevails. We’re Maintaining Our Constructive Thesis.
“It doesn’t matter how smart you are unless you stop and think.”—Well-known economist Thomas Sowell Nothing like a little head-spinning drama, eh? That’s what we saw in August as virtually one or two slightly disappointing economic numbers sparked a more than 10%...
The Economy Looks “Just Right” Despite Mixed Signals
Breaking News: It’s OK! Our “Back to Normal” Theme Is Alive and Well.
“It’s déjà vu all over again.”— Yogi Berra The first six months of 2024 were equally as kind to investors as the first six months of 2023. And that’s saying something, knowing that calendar-year total return in 2023 for the full year exceeded 26%.1 Returns for the...
A Merry May on the Heels of an Awful April. The Merits of Staying Measured
“It’s the economy, stupid!” —Slogan coined by James Carville, well-known campaign strategist, and former President Bill Clinton during the 1992 presidential campaign April showers brought May flowers, indeed. The S&P 500 advanced over 4% in May following a decline...
An April Air Pocket – No Fun, But Normal and Perhaps Even Healthy
“Some things are believed because they are demonstrably true. But many other things are believed simply because they have been asserted repeatedly—and repetition has been accepted as a substitute for evidence.” —Well-known economist and author Thomas Sowell April just...